It's currently too early to tell in this election year, obviously up to the day before the election as to who will win the presidency. That doesn't stop media sources from getting us worked up. When we get reports that tell us more Democrats are moving towards Trump than before, it serves to do nothing more than to ramp up my anxiety. Why would any Democrat do that?
The Harvard/Harris CAPS poll that posted this surveyed 2,022 registered voters from February 21 to 22 (pg. 11), "A Majority Of Voters Say The Approve Of The Job Trump Did As President". Being that this is a month behind, the outcome could be different but the comparison is being made to the same question posed in January 2020 showing that Democratic approval was at 14 percent compared to the current 29 percent.
Again, why would any Democrat do that? As far a political affilations go, I recall the history of our two political factions where the ideologies have switched over time. What Democrats stood for decades ago, is what Republicans stand for now and vice versa.
A deeper look at the ideology is to lock into those particular pro-Trump Democrats, where it seems more of a character issue with those voters mixed in with their politics.
There are also plenty of obvious reasons as to why we can only go as far as the poll has to trust it. For me, it's mainly because it's a micro-sized sliver of, in this case, registered Democrats that were polled. More specifically to the Harvard/Harris poll, the Harris part of it seems to be driven by conservatives. In reading the various polls, the outcome always seem to favor Republican talking points. What we know about the GOP is that their narratives are always being pushed by Trump which is plain to see if you've been paying attention.
Since 2017 — when Trump sympathizer Mark J. Penn ’76 became one of the poll’s co-directors — the poll has relied on leading questions. Unlike a proper survey, which asks unbiased questions in order to collect accurate and reliable information, Harvard-Harris poll questions tend to align with right-wing narratives and prompt respondents to lean toward conservative choices.
Again, up until election day, it's too early to know how this is going to play out. Knowing what we know from this insight, the effort to make us anti-Trump voters more anxious has to be conservative-driven. Always remember that to figure when you notice the results are a little too in favor of the Republican party.
[Image screenshot of Harvard/Harris CAPS poll]
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